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AR182

Senior Member
#1
Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 09/12/20
4* Tulane/South Alabama OVER 52 (NCAAF)
3* Georgia Tech +12.5 over Florida St. (NCAAF)
3* Coastal Carolina +7 over Kansas (NCAAF)

Bob Balfe
Georgia Tech/Florida State Under 52
Florida State is again loaded with talent, but they have a brand new coaching staff. How they do week one against a gritty team will be their first true test. The Noles bring back QB Justin Blackmon. This team has a couple of good targets returning but will be without DJ Matthews today which will also hurt them in the return game. This team will also try to find a replacement for the departed Cam Akers. That won’t be an easy task. Georgia Tech has a very good defense that should be able to hold their own today. When the Yellow Jackets have the ball it will not be the triple option team we remember with Paul Johnson as head coach. They transitioned very well last year and it Geoff Collins 2nd year at coach this team should be a lot better. Collins still needs times to go out and recruit his own players for his own system. Many of these players are still carry overs from the Johnson era. Florida State is stacked on defense at every level. This Noles team has more talent and speed and should be able to hold Tech to a low offensive production. Both teams are breaking in new FG kickers as well. Nothing helps and under more than an 8 minute drive and a missed FG. Take the Under.

Joe Gavizzi
4* army
3* fsu
 

AR182

Senior Member
#2
National Sports Service

4* Houston Baptist/Texas Tech OVER 74 (NCAAF)
3* Arkansas St. +13 over Kansas St. (NCAAF)
3* Houston/L.A. Lakers OVER 215.5 (NBA)
 

AR182

Senior Member
#3
The Bear

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Louisville Cardinals (-11.5, 57.5)

This number seems a little low, considering Louisville put up 38 points on 415 yards last year against the Hilltoppers in a 38-21 win. That was also Micale Cunningham's fourth career start, so it's more than reasonable to expect at least that baseline of an offensive performance this year vs WKU, given the Cardinals have essentially all of their skill position players back. I expect WKU to put up its fair share of points on a team that gave up 33 PPG a year ago.

Pick: Over 57.5

Syracuse Orange at No. 18 North Carolina Tar Heels (-23, 65.5)

The Bear: It has been a rough offseason for the Orange. They have opt-outs and injuries galore. Last year, Syracuse struggled all over the place. Injuries at quarterback and on the offensive line were a big part of it, but the team was not competitive in ACC play, as Syracuse was out gained by 124.6 YPG and allowed 33.6 PPG. Syracuse also gave up more than 40 points four times last year and now faces a team with a ton of expectations that will probably be better off than most this season because of the continuity at QB and on the sidelines. Laying 23 might seem like a steep price right off the bat in an unusual season, but it might not seem like enough come the end of the first quarter.

Pick: North Carolina -23

Duke Blue Devils at No. 10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-20, 54)

The Bear: Sure, QB Chase Brice is in Durham to provide a boost to a Duke offense that struggled mightily in the second half of the season (the Blue Devils were 122nd nationally in offensive EPA). That's very un-David Cutcliffe like. Also very un-Cutcliffe like were the Blue Devils' struggles as an underdog last year, which I outline below. Notre Dame ran for 288 yards on almost seven yards per carry last year in a 38-7 win, and I'm not sure how much improvement there will be on the Duke defense, while the Irish offense probably will be better than last year. Notre Dame handled its business as a huge favorite last year, as the Irish were a 20-point favorite three times last year, winning those games 66-14, 52-0 and 40-7. I expect another blowout here.

Pick: Notre Dame -20
 

AR182

Senior Member
#4
Ralph Michaels

College GOW

4% UTSA-Texas State over 55.5

#421/#422 4% OVER 55.5 UTSA/ Texas St 8 PM Saturday

Texas St was a slow paced team last season avg only 64 plays/gm in head coach Jake Spavital’s first season. Now in his second season he wants the ramp the speed up significantly as the offense understands his scheme. Very impressed with QB Brady McBride’s (Memphis trans) first ever start gaining 416 yards and 22 FD’s vs SMU. Not concerned that that game did not go over, and it gives us more line value here. The Bobcats were a 3-TD underdog yet were within one score the entire game, sans 1 min 35 sec when they trailed by 10 points and they played accordingly. Now Texas St is the better team. UTSA was 5-0-1 O/U as a dog last season and despite a new HC here are his quote. "We've instructed all our coaches, we want our guys to play free on Saturday. If we go down, it'll be because we had too little. ... I don't want paralysis by analysis. I want my kids turned loose."
 

AR182

Senior Member
#5
Maddux CFB

10 397 Charlotte/Appalachian State over 59
10 404 Kansas -4.5
10 405 Western Kentucky/Louisville over 56.5